This will be an interesting week in the stock market. Here is our handmade outlook and what to expect this week written from myself.

Here is what to expect in this weeks report:

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Between October 27 and October 31, 2025, the U.S. stock market finished the week nearly flat after the Federal Reserve officially cut interest rates for the second time in a row — a move widely expected but still cheered by investors. The S&P 500 fell about 0.1%, the Nasdaq jumped more than 0.7%, and the Dow added roughly 0.3%, marking another strong week for equities.

The Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut signaled continued confidence that inflation is trending lower, with policymakers emphasizing that the economy remains resilient despite slowing growth in some sectors. Markets rallied immediately after the announcement, as traders interpreted the decision as confirmation that the rate-cut cycle is underway — though the Fed stopped short of promising more easing in December.

Earnings season added fuel to the rally, led by Amazon’s blowout quarter and renewed strength in AI and semiconductor stocks, which drove the Nasdaq to outperform.

All told, the tone remained bullish but cautious — with investors celebrating monetary support while keeping an eye on potential macro risks ahead. Momentum stayed concentrated in tech and AI-driven names, and optimism grew that the combination of rate cuts and strong earnings could extend the market’s year-end rally.

The MMTH (percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average) closed the week at 54%, showing that market breadth remains constructive but not yet robust. This means just over half of all stocks are still in longer-term uptrends — enough to support the market’s strength, but not the kind of broad participation typically seen in the early stages of a full-fledged bull run.

From my perspective, this mid-50s range reflects a market that’s healthy but still selective — leadership remains concentrated in AI, semiconductors, and large-cap tech, while smaller names and cyclicals are only starting to catch up. That creates both opportunity and risk for momentum traders: plenty of setups in leading sectors, but a need to stay disciplined on laggards that haven’t reclaimed trend support.

The VIX, Wall Street’s volatility index, closed the week at 17.44, its lowest level since early September. That drop reflects a clear shift toward calm in equity markets following the Fed’s second rate cut of 2025 and a string of stronger-than-expected tech earnings. With inflation trending lower and monetary policy turning more supportive, investors have scaled back hedging activity — signaling rising confidence and reduced short-term fear.

From my perspective, a VIX reading in the mid-17s represents a constructive backdrop for momentum trading. It means volatility is low enough for trends to hold and for follow-through on breakouts to remain stable, yet not so suppressed that complacency dominates the tape. This kind of environment tends to favor measured risk-taking and steady market participation across leading sectors.

Still, with the VIX near multi-month lows, I’m keeping an eye out for potential volatility rebounds triggered by macro headlines or renewed rate-cut speculation. Sustained readings under 18 usually support bullish momentum — but any quick surge back above 20 would suggest traders are starting to price in new uncertainty beneath the surface.

The Fear & Greed Index ended the week at 35, sitting squarely in the “Fear” zone — a notable contrast to the market’s recent strength. This reading shows that while stocks have rallied on the back of the Fed’s rate cut and solid tech earnings, overall sentiment among investors remains cautious and skeptical. Many traders are still hesitant to chase the upside, likely due to lingering concerns around global growth, stretched valuations, and uncertainty about how long the Fed will maintain its stance.

From my perspective, a Fear reading near 35 can actually be a constructive setup for momentum traders. It suggests that the rally isn’t overly crowded yet — there’s still plenty of cash on the sidelines that could fuel further upside if sentiment improves. Historically, markets tend to climb the “wall of worry”, and moderate fear often supports steady accumulation rather than euphoric overextension.

I’m not a financial advisor, so take this as my perspective—not financial advice—but here’s how I’m positioning myself entering the week ahead.

We’re heading into the first trading week of November, and the focus is squarely on the October Jobs Report and a loaded stretch of mega-cap and tech earnings that could set the tone for the month. Economists expect job growth of around 125,000–150,000, consistent with a cooling but still resilient labor market. A softer print would reinforce the Fed’s recent rate cut and support the easing narrative — while a stronger number could reignite fears that the central bank might pause before its next move.

On the earnings front, the lineup is stacked: Berkshire Hathaway and Palantir report Monday, followed by AMD, Shopify, Uber, and Arista Networks on Tuesday. Midweek, attention shifts to Applovin, McDonald’s, Qualcomm, and ARM Holdings, all of which could drive sharp rotations across AI, consumer, and semiconductor sectors. With several high-beta tech names in play, volatility around these reports could spill into the broader market.

From a momentum trader’s perspective, this is a setup-rich environment. I’ll be watching for earnings gap plays, breakout continuations in AI and chip leaders, and sympathy momentum — where peers move in response to strong reports from sector leaders. With MMTH near 54%, VIX at 17.44, and Fear & Greed at 35, the market still offers clean price action but hasn’t reached euphoric levels. That balance favors trend-following setups with confirmation — strong volume, relative strength, and decisive closes above key levels.

All told, the market remains constructive but selective. The goal this week is to stay nimble, focus on high-conviction setups tied to catalysts, and avoid chasing noise. If breadth expands and volatility stays muted, this could be an ideal stretch for disciplined momentum traders to press advantage — one breakout at a time.

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Thank you for reading!

Jordan K.